Fed’s Bowman still sees ‘upside risks’ to US inflation
Federal Reserve governor Michelle Bowman is worried about reacceleration in cost of living, saying that she 'still see some upside risks to inflation'
Bank of Canada drops interest rate to 2.5% — also a risk management cut
After holding the policy rate unchanged in the past three meetings, Bank of Canada on Wednesday resumed its rate cut cycle, lowering its target for the overnight rate by 25 basis points to 2.5%.
How often companies in Eurozone change their prices?
An ECB survey found that the retailers review and change their prices most often, while consumer and business service firms adjust their pricing the least often. Firms in the manufacturing sector, meanwhile, have a price adjustment frequency somewhere in between the above sectors
Canada unemployment rate surges to 7.1% in Aug
The unemployment rate in Canada has risen to 7.1% in August, the highest level since May 2016 outside of the pandemic era, StatCan reported Friday.
Canada unemployment rate rises back to 6.7% in February amid 83,900 job losses
Canada Labor Market——February 2026
Unemployment Rate: 6.7%;
Total Jobs MoM Change: -83,900;
Full-Time Jobs MoM Change: -108,400;
Part-Time Jobs MoM Change : 24,500
The Rise of Non-Bank US Dollar Credit Continues
The latest BIS global liquidity indicators showed that the share of Non-bank USD denominated credit continued its rising trend.
Market sees Bank of England to raise rate to 4% by May
The financial market expecting the UK policy interest rate UK will break 4% by May, more than double the current level of 1.75%. Financial Times reported.
US goods trade deficit hits all-time high in 2025—What does it mean for Q4...
US trade deficit continues to widen in December after hitting recent year low in October. The total import was USD 70.3 billion higher than export in the last month of 2025, according to the US Census Bureau.
Canada inflation slows further to 2.8%; rent continues to rise
Canada's CPI rose 2.78% in February, a further slowdown from the 2.86% increase in the January
Canadian’s average carried over credit card balances highest in 14 years, Equifax reports
The average carried over credit card balances for Canadian consumers topped CAD 4,300 in Q2, reaching the highest level since 2007, Equifax Canada said in its latest Market Pulse Consumer Credit Trends and Insights Report.
US CPI shows zero inflation in May
US CPI grew 0% in May as the yearly growth rate dropped to 3.27%; core inflation, which stripped out food and energy prices, rose 0.2% and the yearly rate decreased to 3.42%
Japan exports (Dec 2018) recorded largest fall in two year
Japanese exports record a year-on-year drop of 3.8% in December 2018, the most substantial shrinkage since October 2016.
Fed’s Daly, Kashkari support rate cut talks in September meeting
San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari are both open to discussions about cutting Fed Fund Rate target at the up coming Federal Reserve meeting
UK house prices continue to fall in May, Nationwide reports
UK average property prices were 3.4% lower compared to the previous year, accelerating the annual fall of 2.7% in April.
September FOMC Meeting: The Potential Dissenters
The Federal Reserve is expected to cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points this week. This has been the baseline market assumption since Chairman Jerome Powell's speech at Jackson Hole, in which he proclaimed, “the shifting balance of risks may warrant adjusting our policy stance."
The question is, how many dissenting votes will Powell face in this meeting?
US PCE price index shows zero monthly inflation in May
US PCE price index showed 0% monthly inflation in May, bolstering market narrative that consumption sentiment has weakened in Q2 and helped easing inflationary pressure in the US economy.
How will the shutdown impact GDP growth?
The effect is shown differently on nominal and real GDP
Bank of Canada July meeting minutes reveal growing concerns on slowing labor market, consumption
Bank of Canada officials were increasingly concerned about potential risk of consumption slowdown amid growing slack in the labor market and excess supply in the economy when they cut interest rate during July 24 meeting, according to the central bank's summary of deliberations.
UK inflation holds at 4% in January
CPI: 4.0% YoY (Dec: 4.0%); Core CPI: 5.1% YoY (Dec: 5.1%)
Resilient US job market continues easing trend
Non-farm payroll booked an increase of 236,000 in March, a further deceleration from February's 326,000, which was revised upward from the preliminary figure of 311,000, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics' establishment survey.
US initial jobless claims falls to 233,000, lower than expected
The number of people filed their initial claim for unemployment insurance benefits in the US fell to 233,000 in the week ending August 3.
Fed-preferred PCE price index accelerated in January
Core PCE inflation rose 4.7% in January YoY, beating expectation of 4.4% increase. The Fed-preferred price index rose 0.6% MoM compared to the market expectation of 0.5%.
Signs of Eurozone Recession is More Apparent
The latest Purchasing Manager Index (PMI) for the two largest economies, Germany and France, is showing a clear sign of looming recession.
ECB on impact of Coronavirus
Luis de Guindos, vice president of the European Central Bank, depicted the coronavirus as an additional " layer of uncertainty to global and euro area growth prospects," in his speech at the European Economics and Financial Centre on March 3.
First sighting of Trump II tariff revenue surge
The US government on April 22 received USD 11.7 billion from customer duties in a single day, the first time we can observe a substantial increase in import duties revenue resulted from the new of tariff from the second Trump administration.
Derivatives’s Credit Terms in Eurozone Tighten Further
The latest SESFOD shows that the credit terms offered to counterparties for both securities financing and OTC derivative transactions is further tightened.
Eurozone inflation drops to 6.1% in May, lower than expected
Annual consumer prices in the Eurozone rose by 6.1% YoY in May, down from 7% in April.
Bank of England will likely retire Fan chart, Andrew Bailey says
Bank of England's Fan charts would probably be replaced by "alternative scenario" projections, which illustrate how policy might react under different economic developments.
Will QT finish before Powell’s chairman term ends?
Quantitative tightening (QT) may reach its end point "in the coming months," said Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell in a speech last week.
What does it mean? Will QT finish before Powell's chairman term ends?
Canada GDP Q3 2025
While GDP rebounded by 0.65% in Q3 (2.6% annualized), the expansion was driven almost entirely by a 2.2% drop in imports.
‘Unusually low’ Hong Kong interest rate is a policy choice*
A careful study of Hong Kong's currency peg that explain why the current low-interest rate environment can be interpreted as a result of the Hong Kong Monetary Authority's policy choice.
US bans energy imports from Russia
"Russian oil will no longer be acceptable at US ports," President Biden said.
No World Cup effect in the US jobs market after all
The 2026 World Cup has been hailed as a successful event in the US, but according to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics' establishment survey, the once-every-four-years international football tournament failed to bring jobs... But we did see it in Canada
Canada’s inflation rate slides to 1.8% amid a disinflationary base effect from last year’s sales tax holiday
Canada's inflation rate eased to 1.8% in February, the lowest since July last year.
The deceleration in headline CPI year-over-year growth rate can mostly be explained by the base effect resulted from the GST/HST holiday last year.
Sberbank’s European subsidiaries placed under payment moratorium amid sanctions
EU’s Single Resolution Board has enforced payment moratorium on three European subsidiaries of Russian bank Sberbank, which is under US-led sanction, and is accessing whether any resolution action would be need to to protect public interest.
Most of China’s Foreign Currency Credit are in USD
According to the data from BIS global liquidity indicators, as of September 2018, most foreign currency credits to China is still denominated with US dollar.
Canada inflation drops to 2.9% in January
Canada's headline CPI rose 2.9% in January, hitting Bank of Canada's inflation-control target range of 1% - 3% for the first time since March 2021.
US CPI down to 2.9% in July as disinflation continues
US headline CPI down to 2.9% in July, lowest since March 2021
US payroll growth in Jan beats expectations
US nonfarm payroll increased 353,000 and Unemployment rate as 3.7% in January
How many US Public Debts out there? Who own them?
According to the data shown in the Congressional Budget Office‘s latest The Budget and Economic Outlook: From 2019 to 2029, there are $15.8 trillion US federal debt held by the public at the end of 2018.
Fed to let Bank Term Funding Program expires on March 11
The US central bank also made an adjustment of the program's terms, setting minimum interest rate level at the interest of reserve balance, effective immediately, to block an arbitrage opportunity that banks have been taking advantage of.
UK CPI inflation eases to 8.7% but food inflation still close to 20%
The headline CPI figure slowed down to 8.7% in April, from 10.1% in March, while core inflation accelerated to 6.8%, from 6.2%
US PCE inflation slows further in March with looming recession concern
US PCE price index decelerated further in March with the year over year rate dropped to merely 4.2%, down from 5.1% in February.
Canada Labor Market Watch
Canada's unemployment rate dropped substantially and unexpectedly to 6.5% in November, from 6.9% in the prior month, showing signs of a much-needed resiliency in the North American economy.
US PCE inflation holds at 2.7% in April as market expected
US PCE inflation held at 2.7% YoY in April 2024 while core inflation maintained its pace at 2.8% for the third months,
Bank of Canada Watch—Dec 2025 Meeting
The Bank of Canada on Wednesday decided to hold policy rate at 2.25% unchanged, as expected by markets. However, what is a notable is the Bank continues to show dovish bias given the recent rebound in economic data.
UK inflation cools to 3.4% amid service inflation slowdown
Core inflation also slowed to 4.5%, compared to a year earlier.
BoE holds rate at 5.25% with ‘some’ officials signal eagerness to cut
Bank of England held its policy interest rate at 5.25% with a 7-2 vote amongst officials at its Monetary Policy Committee.
Bank of England raises interest rate by 0.5%—notes on the Bank’s decision
Bank of England on Thursday decided to raise its benchmark interest rate by 0.5% to 5%, larger than the market expectation of a 0.25% increase. The decision followed Office of Nation Statistics' publication of a 8.7% CPI inflation reading for the year to May on Wednesday.
