Canada GDP rebound masks lackluster domestic demand
The Canadian economy saw a significant rebound in the third quarter. A 0.65% expansion in the quarter was more than enough to recover the downwardly revised 0.47% contraction in the previous second quarter.
US PCE price index shows zero monthly inflation in May
US PCE price index showed 0% monthly inflation in May, bolstering market narrative that consumption sentiment has weakened in Q2 and helped easing inflationary pressure in the US economy.
Bank of England raises interest rate by 0.5%—notes on the Bank’s decision
Bank of England on Thursday decided to raise its benchmark interest rate by 0.5% to 5%, larger than the market expectation of a 0.25% increase. The decision followed Office of Nation Statistics' publication of a 8.7% CPI inflation reading for the year to May on Wednesday.
US gains 272,000 jobs in May, blows past expectations
US gained 272,000 nonfarm employment in May blew past market expectations of an 185,000 increase. Meanwhile, unemployment rate rose to 4%, which is the highest level since November 2021.
OECD governments borrowing expected to hit record $11tn
Gross borrowing of OECD governments from the markets is set to surpass $11tn this year. This would be a new record, above the current record of $10.9 trillion set in 2010.
US initial jobless claims falls to 233,000, lower than expected
The number of people filed their initial claim for unemployment insurance benefits in the US fell to 233,000 in the week ending August 3.
UK CPI inflation eases to 8.7% but food inflation still close to 20%
The headline CPI figure slowed down to 8.7% in April, from 10.1% in March, while core inflation accelerated to 6.8%, from 6.2%
Canada unemployment rate surges to 7.1% in Aug
The unemployment rate in Canada has risen to 7.1% in August, the highest level since May 2016 outside of the pandemic era, StatCan reported Friday.
Bank of England will likely retire Fan chart, Andrew Bailey says
Bank of England's Fan charts would probably be replaced by "alternative scenario" projections, which illustrate how policy might react under different economic developments.
‘Unusually low’ Hong Kong interest rate is a policy choice*
A careful study of Hong Kong's currency peg that explain why the current low-interest rate environment can be interpreted as a result of the Hong Kong Monetary Authority's policy choice.
ECB on impact of Coronavirus
Luis de Guindos, vice president of the European Central Bank, depicted the coronavirus as an additional " layer of uncertainty to global and euro area growth prospects," in his speech at the European Economics and Financial Centre on March 3.
US CPI inflation rebounds in Dec to 3.4%
Core CPI inflation continues to decelerate to 3.93%
US GDP grows at 2.8% in Q2 as consumer spending remains strong
US GDP grew at a 2.8% annualized rate in Q2, supported by acceleration in consumer spending, increase in nonresidential fixed investment as well as an upturn in private inventory investment
If the Fed ends QT too soon, it risks discrediting its ceiling tools
Analysts are expecting the Federal Reserve to announce the end of quantitative tightening (QT) at the upcoming meeting this week. The speculation is fueled by Chairman Jerome Powell's speech earlier this month in which he mentioned the supply of reserves may reach an "ample" level "in coming months."
UK retail sales drops 1.2% in June due to poor weather, election uncertainty
Monthly growth rate of UK retail sales volume fell 1.2% in June, after a 2.9% increase in the previous month.
Canada unemployment rate rises back to 6.7% in February amid 83,900 job losses
Canada Labor Market——February 2026
Unemployment Rate: 6.7%;
Total Jobs MoM Change: -83,900;
Full-Time Jobs MoM Change: -108,400;
Part-Time Jobs MoM Change : 24,500
Canada unemployment rate rises to 5.8% as labor force continues to grow
Statistic Canada on Friday reported that Canada's unemployment rate rose to 5.8%,, reaching the highest since the start of 2022.
Canada inflation drops to 2.9% in January
Canada's headline CPI rose 2.9% in January, hitting Bank of Canada's inflation-control target range of 1% - 3% for the first time since March 2021.
US bans energy imports from Russia
"Russian oil will no longer be acceptable at US ports," President Biden said.
G20 finance officials to discuss debt, funding to low-income countries in India
G20's economic officials will gather in India next week to discuss ways to boost lending to developing countries from multilateral institutions and to reform the international debt system, Reuters cited unnamed Indian officials.
Japan’s Inflation Rate is still Far From BOJ’s 2 Percent Target
Japan's core inflation rate was on 0.7 percent in February, remaining distant from the Bank of Japan's 2 percent target.
Canada inflation slows further to 2.8%; rent continues to rise
Canada's CPI rose 2.78% in February, a further slowdown from the 2.86% increase in the January
Most of China’s Foreign Currency Credit are in USD
According to the data from BIS global liquidity indicators, as of September 2018, most foreign currency credits to China is still denominated with US dollar.
How will the shutdown impact GDP growth?
The effect is shown differently on nominal and real GDP
US CPI shows zero inflation in May
US CPI grew 0% in May as the yearly growth rate dropped to 3.27%; core inflation, which stripped out food and energy prices, rose 0.2% and the yearly rate decreased to 3.42%
Canada inflation rebounds to 2.9% in May
CPI inflation in Canada rebounded to 2.9% YoY and 0.31% MoM in May 2024
Currency Zones through the last 50 years
The figure above is from a recent BIS working paper "A key currency view of global imbalances". It shows the currency geography as of four dates from the last days of Bretton Woods until now: 1968, 1985, 2001 and 2017.
Signs of Eurozone Recession is More Apparent
The latest Purchasing Manager Index (PMI) for the two largest economies, Germany and France, is showing a clear sign of looming recession.
No World Cup effect in the US jobs market after all
The 2026 World Cup has been hailed as a successful event in the US, but according to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics' establishment survey, the once-every-four-years international football tournament failed to bring jobs... But we did see it in Canada
Canada GDP Q3 2025
While GDP rebounded by 0.65% in Q3 (2.6% annualized), the expansion was driven almost entirely by a 2.2% drop in imports.
US PCE inflation slows further in March with looming recession concern
US PCE price index decelerated further in March with the year over year rate dropped to merely 4.2%, down from 5.1% in February.
UK inflation remains above 10% as food prices continues rapid rise
The UK CPI rose 10.1% in the year to March, still remain in double digits even though analysts expected the annual rate to fall to 9.8%
Bank of Canada names ex-central bankers, University of Calgary professor as external experts for...
Ex-Bank of Spain Governor Pablo Hernández de Cos, ex-BoE official Kristin Forbes and Trevor Tombe, professor at the University of Calgary, will for an external expert team to conduct independent assessment on Bank of Canada's review on Covid-era exceptional actions
US consumers continues to drive strong GDP growth
US GDP increased by more than 2.8% at an annualized rate in Q3, supported by continued acceleration the growth of personal consumption expenditures.
US PPI drops to 2.6% in August— a tale of two service prices
The Producer Price Index for Final Demand (PPI-FD) declined 0.1% MoM in Aug, bring the annual increase down to 2.6% from 3.1% in the previous month.
How many US Public Debts out there? Who own them?
According to the data shown in the Congressional Budget Office‘s latest The Budget and Economic Outlook: From 2019 to 2029, there are $15.8 trillion US federal debt held by the public at the end of 2018.
US CPI down to 2.9% in July as disinflation continues
US headline CPI down to 2.9% in July, lowest since March 2021
US Retail sales up just 0.1%, still beats expectations
Retail sales in the US increased just 0.05% on a monthly basis in August, down from the outsized 1.15% growth in July but still beats market expectation of -0.2%
Market sees Bank of England to raise rate to 4% by May
The financial market expecting the UK policy interest rate UK will break 4% by May, more than double the current level of 1.75%. Financial Times reported.
UK retail sales rebounds 3.4% in Jan after dismal Christmas figures
UK retail volume rose 3.4% MoM in January, after it dropped by 3.3% in December
Bank of Canada continues to hold rate at 5% as underlying inflation still shows...
Governor Macklem said the "Governing Council’s discussion of monetary policy is shifting from whether our policy rate is restrictive enough to restore price stability, to how long it needs to stay at the current level"
US gains 339,000 jobs while unemployment rate rises to 3.7%
Employers in the US added 339,000 jobs in May, but at the same time 440,000 more people reported they were unemployed
US Job openings increases to 8.1 million in May, JOLT report shows
Job openings increased to 8.14 million in May while the number of hirings in the month was 5.78 million
Canada inflation slows further to 2.5% in July
Inflation in Canada decreased to 2.53% at an annual basis in July according to Statistics Canada's latest report
Bank of Canada not sure about exact level of neutral rate, Macklem says
Bank of Canada isn't entirely sure what the country's natural rate of interest is and the central bank will have to discover it over time, said Governor Tiff Macklem.
First sighting of Trump II tariff revenue surge
The US government on April 22 received USD 11.7 billion from customer duties in a single day, the first time we can observe a substantial increase in import duties revenue resulted from the new of tariff from the second Trump administration.
The sizes of Sept rate hike to be decided on upcoming data, Fed officials...
Ahead of Jay Powell's keynote speech in Jackson Hole on Friday, two Fed officials said more rate hikes are still warranted, but they said it's too early to decide on the size rate increase yet.
Eurozone inflation drops to 6.1% in May, lower than expected
Annual consumer prices in the Eurozone rose by 6.1% YoY in May, down from 7% in April.
