Germany’s GDP Data might have been Distorted by Questionable Data
Germany's GDP data for 2018 might have been distorted by some questionable data provided by the pharmaceutical manufacturing industry.
US Trade Deficit Stabilizes as Post-Tariff ‘Front-Loading’ Fades
US trade deficit rebounded to USD 56.8 billion in November after recording a USD 29.2 billion shortfall, the smallest monthly since 2009, in the previous month, the US Census Bureau reported Thursday.
US payroll growth in Jan beats expectations
US nonfarm payroll increased 353,000 and Unemployment rate as 3.7% in January
OECD governments borrowing expected to hit record $11tn
Gross borrowing of OECD governments from the markets is set to surpass $11tn this year. This would be a new record, above the current record of $10.9 trillion set in 2010.
Japan exports (Dec 2018) recorded largest fall in two year
Japanese exports record a year-on-year drop of 3.8% in December 2018, the most substantial shrinkage since October 2016.
US nonfarm payroll beats expectations in June amid signs of cooling off
US nonfarm payroll increased by 206,000 in June, beating market expectation of 190,000, amid signs that job growth in cooling off as the the Bureau of Labor Statistics revised down the May and April by a combined 111,000 in its report released Friday.
Most of China’s Foreign Currency Credit are in USD
According to the data from BIS global liquidity indicators, as of September 2018, most foreign currency credits to China is still denominated with US dollar.
Fed to let Bank Term Funding Program expires on March 11
The US central bank also made an adjustment of the program's terms, setting minimum interest rate level at the interest of reserve balance, effective immediately, to block an arbitrage opportunity that banks have been taking advantage of.
Americans have not been this optimistic about their financial situation — for the last...
69% of American is financially optimistic, reaching the highest level for the last 16 years.
Signs of Eurozone Recession is More Apparent
The latest Purchasing Manager Index (PMI) for the two largest economies, Germany and France, is showing a clear sign of looming recession.
Japan’s Inflation Rate is still Far From BOJ’s 2 Percent Target
Japan's core inflation rate was on 0.7 percent in February, remaining distant from the Bank of Japan's 2 percent target.
Bank of England will likely retire Fan chart, Andrew Bailey says
Bank of England's Fan charts would probably be replaced by "alternative scenario" projections, which illustrate how policy might react under different economic developments.
Canada unemployment rate rises to 5.8% as labor force continues to grow
Statistic Canada on Friday reported that Canada's unemployment rate rose to 5.8%,, reaching the highest since the start of 2022.
How will the shutdown impact GDP growth?
The effect is shown differently on nominal and real GDP
If the Fed ends QT too soon, it risks discrediting its ceiling tools
Analysts are expecting the Federal Reserve to announce the end of quantitative tightening (QT) at the upcoming meeting this week. The speculation is fueled by Chairman Jerome Powell's speech earlier this month in which he mentioned the supply of reserves may reach an "ample" level "in coming months."
Canada inflation drops back to 2.7% in June
Annual inflation rate in Canada eased back to less than 2.7% in June after a upshot in the previous month, according to Statistics Canada's CPI report.
US PCE inflation drops to 2.5% as disinflationary trend continues
Inflation in the US cooled off further to 2.5% over the year to the end of June, according to the latest reading of US Bureau of Economic Analysis's PCE price index.
US Job openings increases to 8.1 million in May, JOLT report shows
Job openings increased to 8.14 million in May while the number of hirings in the month was 5.78 million
How often companies in Eurozone change their prices?
An ECB survey found that the retailers review and change their prices most often, while consumer and business service firms adjust their pricing the least often. Firms in the manufacturing sector, meanwhile, have a price adjustment frequency somewhere in between the above sectors
Derivatives’s Credit Terms in Eurozone Tighten Further
The latest SESFOD shows that the credit terms offered to counterparties for both securities financing and OTC derivative transactions is further tightened.
US initial jobless claims falls to 233,000, lower than expected
The number of people filed their initial claim for unemployment insurance benefits in the US fell to 233,000 in the week ending August 3.
US PCE inflation holds at 2.7% in April as market expected
US PCE inflation held at 2.7% YoY in April 2024 while core inflation maintained its pace at 2.8% for the third months,
Will QT finish before Powell’s chairman term ends?
Quantitative tightening (QT) may reach its end point "in the coming months," said Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell in a speech last week.
What does it mean? Will QT finish before Powell's chairman term ends?
Canada GDP shrinks 0.4% in Q2, is it all gloomy?
Canada's GDP contracted by 0.4% (or 1.6% annualized) over the second quarter, amid a 7.5% (26.7% annualized) drop in exports as the impact of US-imposed tariffs started to bite.
US CPI shows zero inflation in May
US CPI grew 0% in May as the yearly growth rate dropped to 3.27%; core inflation, which stripped out food and energy prices, rose 0.2% and the yearly rate decreased to 3.42%
US PCE price index shows zero monthly inflation in May
US PCE price index showed 0% monthly inflation in May, bolstering market narrative that consumption sentiment has weakened in Q2 and helped easing inflationary pressure in the US economy.
US CPI down to 2.9% in July as disinflation continues
US headline CPI down to 2.9% in July, lowest since March 2021
US labor market cools down further with job openings, hires, quits all drop in...
The March US job opening and labor turnover (JOLT) report shows that job opening rate, hire rate and quit rate all dropped marginally in March, showing further cool down in the US labor market.
US April Jobs Report – Unemployment rate rises back to 3.9% as Nonfarm Payroll...
Nonfarm payroll increased 175,000 in April, a significant reduction from 315,000 in March and fell short of the market expectation of 243,000. Meanwhile, US unemployment rebounded to 3.9%
Canada inflation rebounds to 2.9% in May
CPI inflation in Canada rebounded to 2.9% YoY and 0.31% MoM in May 2024
First sighting of Trump II tariff revenue surge
The US government on April 22 received USD 11.7 billion from customer duties in a single day, the first time we can observe a substantial increase in import duties revenue resulted from the new of tariff from the second Trump administration.
US goods trade deficit hits all-time high in 2025—What does it mean for Q4...
US trade deficit continues to widen in December after hitting recent year low in October. The total import was USD 70.3 billion higher than export in the last month of 2025, according to the US Census Bureau.
ECB on impact of Coronavirus
Luis de Guindos, vice president of the European Central Bank, depicted the coronavirus as an additional " layer of uncertainty to global and euro area growth prospects," in his speech at the European Economics and Financial Centre on March 3.
Canada unemployment rate surges to 7.1% in Aug
The unemployment rate in Canada has risen to 7.1% in August, the highest level since May 2016 outside of the pandemic era, StatCan reported Friday.
US gains 272,000 jobs in May, blows past expectations
US gained 272,000 nonfarm employment in May blew past market expectations of an 185,000 increase. Meanwhile, unemployment rate rose to 4%, which is the highest level since November 2021.
UK inflation remains above 10% as food prices continues rapid rise
The UK CPI rose 10.1% in the year to March, still remain in double digits even though analysts expected the annual rate to fall to 9.8%
Some Bank of Canada officials worried half point cut might signal economic trouble
Some Bank of Canada officials expressed worries during the last policy meeting that an "unusual" 50-basis-point might be "interpreted as a sign of economic trouble" and led to expectations of further outsized cuts, the meeting deliberations summary shows.
US gains 339,000 jobs while unemployment rate rises to 3.7%
Employers in the US added 339,000 jobs in May, but at the same time 440,000 more people reported they were unemployed
Hong Kong soaks up HKD 30 billion from interbank market to defend currency peg
Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) intervened twice in the foreign exchange market on Thursday (July 3) to soak up a total of HKD 29.6 billion from the city's interbank liquidity market, as HKD exchange rate fell toward the weak end of its official trading band.
US GDP grows at 2.8% in Q2 as consumer spending remains strong
US GDP grew at a 2.8% annualized rate in Q2, supported by acceleration in consumer spending, increase in nonresidential fixed investment as well as an upturn in private inventory investment
UK inflation cools to 3.4% amid service inflation slowdown
Core inflation also slowed to 4.5%, compared to a year earlier.
World Bank seeks to provide further USD 350 million loans to Ukraine
The World Bank is aiming to fast track the process to provide Ukraine an additional USD 350 million loan in the next few days, or as soon as the end of this week, Reuters cited people familiar with the plans.
Canadian’s average carried over credit card balances highest in 14 years, Equifax reports
The average carried over credit card balances for Canadian consumers topped CAD 4,300 in Q2, reaching the highest level since 2007, Equifax Canada said in its latest Market Pulse Consumer Credit Trends and Insights Report.
Fed projects plan for front-loaded monetary easing, kicks off with 50 bps cut
The Federal Reserve lowered its fed fund rate target by 50 basis points to the range of 4.75 - 5%, with governor Michelle Bowman dissented the decision in favor of a smaller a quarter percentage point cut.
Bank of Canada continues to hold rate at 5% as underlying inflation still shows...
Governor Macklem said the "Governing Council’s discussion of monetary policy is shifting from whether our policy rate is restrictive enough to restore price stability, to how long it needs to stay at the current level"
US CPI inflation rebounds in Dec to 3.4%
Core CPI inflation continues to decelerate to 3.93%
US CPI decelerates further in March to close 2 year low
Consumer price index grew for March 5% over the past year, reaching the lowest level since May 2021. Nonetheless, Core CPI recorded a 5.6% increase, up from 5.5% in February.
UK sees both unemployment rate, wage growth drop in June
Unemployment rate in the UK decreased to 4.2% at the three months to June, against a market expectation of rising from the May reading of 4.4% to 4.5%, the Office for National Statistics reported Tuesday.
BoE to run system-wide evaluation on financial system including non-banks
Bank of England will conduct a system-wide exploratory scenario (SWES) exercise on the UK financial markets to see how well both banks and non-bank financial institutions can handle stress market conditions.
Canada Labor Market Watch
Canada's unemployment rate dropped substantially and unexpectedly to 6.5% in November, from 6.9% in the prior month, showing signs of a much-needed resiliency in the North American economy.
