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Cloud Y

Cloud Y
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The independent journalist who set up this website after realizing he is not smart enough to become a real economist.

Federal Reserve has never been this ‘confused’ about neutral rate

Federal Reserve decided to cut rate by an supersized 0.5 percentage point. The decision finally ended the weeks-long market debate of whether the central bank would cut 25 or 50 basis points. One important thing, though, didn't reach the headline: The Fed has never been this "confused" about where the natural rate should be.

Fed projects plan for front-loaded monetary easing, kicks off with 50 bps cut

The Federal Reserve lowered its fed fund rate target by 50 basis points to the range of 4.75 - 5%, with governor Michelle Bowman dissented the decision in favor of a smaller a quarter percentage point cut.

US Retail sales up just 0.1%, still beats expectations

Retail sales in the US increased just 0.05% on a monthly basis in August, down from the outsized 1.15% growth in July but still beats market expectation of -0.2%

Why Canada’s unemployment rate is rising so rapidly?

Canada's labor market has cooled down rapidly this year. Unemployment rate rose to 6.6% in August. The major issue is that the not enough job are created to digest the explosive population growth over the last few years and this integration problem is growing larger every month.

ECB cuts rate to 3.5% as it scales down growth forecast

The European Central Bank reduced the deposit facility rate, its policy interest rate anchor, by a quarter of a percentage point to 3.5%, as the central bank slightly lowered its economic growth forecast.

Canadian’s average carried over credit card balances highest in 14 years, Equifax reports

The average carried over credit card balances for Canadian consumers topped CAD 4,300 in Q2, reaching the highest level since 2007, Equifax Canada said in its latest Market Pulse Consumer Credit Trends and Insights Report.

Canada inflation slows further to 2.5% in July

Inflation in Canada decreased to 2.53% at an annual basis in July according to Statistics Canada's latest report

Fed’s Daly, Kashkari support rate cut talks in September meeting

San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari are both open to discussions about cutting Fed Fund Rate target at the up coming Federal Reserve meeting

US CPI down to 2.9% in July as disinflation continues

US headline CPI down to 2.9% in July, lowest since March 2021

UK sees both unemployment rate, wage growth drop in June

Unemployment rate in the UK decreased to 4.2% at the three months to June, against a market expectation of rising from the May reading of 4.4% to 4.5%, the Office for National Statistics reported Tuesday.

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