Tuesday, January 26, 2021

The repo spike is not liquidity crisis; it is a crisis for Fed’s floor...

The floor system needs a cap on top of it. The sooner the Fed realizes it, the better they will be prepared for the coming financial turmoil.

The problem with monetarist’s view of inflation

Long-run stability of the velocity, or the filpside of it, money demand, however, is not a empirically founded assumption.

BIS’s latest hunt for Zombie (firms)

In the latest BIS Quarterly Review, researchers Ryan Banerjee and Boris Hofmann consolidated some of the earlier research to illustrate the problem of zombie firms. They argued that the rise of zombies predated the 2008 financial crisis, and has since been dragging down the productivity of the real economy.

How to use the Fed’s FIMA Repo — the case of Hong Kong

Hong Kong Monetary Authority, the de facto central bank of Hong Kong, announced on April 22 that it will utilize the Fed's FIMA Repo facility to borrow USD 10 billion of cash.

Integrating Psychology with Economics | Q&A with Hersh Shefrin & Shlomo Benartzi

This weekend is a big one for behavioral economics. This morning, Richard Thaler, laureate of The Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel 2017, has presented his prize lecture "Integrating economics with psychology" in The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. And this Sunday will be the Nobel Prize Award Ceremony, Prof. Thaler will finally the well-deserved Nobel prize.To celebrate this occasion, I am honored to share with you my interview with two of the best co-authors of Prof. Thaler --- Hersh Shefrin and Shlomo Benartzi.

What is Hysteresis?

Hysteresis is referred to the hypothesis that recessions may have permanent effects on the level of output relative to trend.

Why Yellen should stay as Fed Governor? | Q&A with Conti-Brown

When President Trump decided to nominate Jay Powell instead of Janet Yellen to be the next Federal Reserve Chair, my mind was full of interesting questions on how this decision impacts the institution of the Fed. In my opinion, one of the best experts to answer my question would be Peter Conti-Brown, assistant professor at The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania and author of one of the best book about the institution of Fed --- "The Power and Independence of the Federal Reserve".

Interview with Paul Romer on large scale Covid testing – the transcript

This is the edited transcript of our interview with Paul Romer, on why the US urgently to scale up testing for Covid-19, why he thinks the covid-crisis amounts an intellectual failure, why this economic crisis is not as bad the Great Depression, what economics can do more, and what economists can learn from the crisis.

Blanchard’s “Policy Model” v “Theory Model”

Back in November last year, Professor Olivier Blanchard discussed with me about his view that there should be four types of macroeconomics, and "theory models" like DSGEs is just one of them. Here is...

When will Hong Kong’s Interest Rates Align With the US?

If you think the interest rate gap between Hong Kong and US is a market phenomenon, think again. HK Monetary Authority has a much bigger role than you think