Monday, August 2, 2021

Hong Kong Linked Exchange Rate & HKD-USD interest rate differential

HKD tends to be on the strong side (closer to HKD 7.75 per USD) when the interest rate differential is positive (HIBOR > LIBOR).

Paul Romer is worried about Macroeconomics… and what others think about his worries…

Paul Romer's latest paper "The Trouble with Macroeconomics" is definitely one of the hottest topic in the economics blogosphere. The central message is that Romer thinks the state of Macroeconomics has been going backward...

Aging, Output Per Capita and Secular Stagnation

Gauti B. Eggertsson, Manuel Lancastre, and Lawrence H. Summers explain in their paper "Aging, Output Per Capita and Secular Stagnation" the role of aging in the Secular Stagnation model.

Secured and Unsecured Debt Over the Business Cycle

Filed this one under Does Debt have a role in Marco of the 21st Century? Azariadis, Kaas, and Wen (2015) first decomposed total corporate debt into secured and unsecured debt to study the relationship between...

Blanchard’s “Policy Model” v “Theory Model”

Back in November last year, Professor Olivier Blanchard discussed with me about his view that there should be four types of macroeconomics, and "theory models" like DSGEs is just one of them. Here is...

How to benefit from others’ QE — Hong Kong Linked Exchange Rate’s lesson

What if I tell you, behind the boring news headline, there is actually a wonkish story about how the Hong Kong central bank took advantage of the monetary easing by the Fed in the last 12 year and created a new set of policy options that it can now use to actively mange the inflows created by the new round Fed easing under the Great Lockdown.

Helicopter Money is here in Hong Kong? Well…

“The money helicopter has arrived,” Claire Jones writes in her FT Alphaville post, citing Hong Kong Finance Secretary’s announcement of a handout of HKD 10,000 to each permanent resident in the city.As a Hong...

Why the Fed announces “not-QE” Treasuries purchase program?

Federal Reserve announced yesterday that it will start purchasing Treasury bills from Oct 15 (Tuesday) until at least the second quarter of next year.