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Thu | Jan 1-2026 | 7:31 pm EST

Hold on, Bank of England: The Fed is not so different from you on...

The Bank of England on Thursday released its latest Monetary Policy Report, announcing its decision to lower its policy rate by 25 bps to 4%. The report contains a lot of excellent analysis, including on the recent rise in food prices, the effect of trade war as well as a review of its quantitative tightening policy. But one thing, a comparatively much less important thing, in the review just stuck in my mind...

September FOMC Meeting: The Potential Dissenters

The Federal Reserve is expected to cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points this week. This has been the baseline market assumption since Chairman Jerome Powell's speech at Jackson Hole, in which he proclaimed, “the shifting balance of risks may warrant adjusting our policy stance." The question is, how many dissenting votes will Powell face in this meeting?

How to benefit from others’ QE — Hong Kong Linked Exchange Rate’s lesson

What if I tell you, behind the boring news headline, there is actually a wonkish story about how the Hong Kong central bank took advantage of the monetary easing by the Fed in the last 12 year and created a new set of policy options that it can now use to actively mange the inflows created by the new round Fed easing under the Great Lockdown.

Hysteresis – An Underrated Macroeconomics Question

Hysteresis is referred to the hypothesis that recessions may have permanent effects on the level of output relative to trend.

Nonbank Lending

In their recent working paper "Nonbank Lending", economists Sergey Chernenko, Isil Erel, and Robert Prilmeier provided an insightful overview of the sources and terms of private debt financing during the post-crisis period.

Canada GDP: an Up-to-date checkup on the Canadian economy

While GDP rebounded by 0.65% in Q3 (2.6% annualized), the expansion was driven almost entirely by a 2.2% drop in imports.

Measuring Federal Reserve officials’ secret disagreement behind locked doors of FOMC meetings

Dissent votes in Federal Reserve policy meetings are rare, accounting for only 6.37% of the votes between 1976 and 2017. However, opting not to vote against the FOMC consensus doesn't necessarily mean committee members don't "disagree" with it.

‘Unusually low’ Hong Kong interest rate is a policy choice*

A careful study of Hong Kong's currency peg that explain why the current low-interest rate environment can be interpreted as a result of the Hong Kong Monetary Authority's policy choice.

Hong Kong dollar amid ‘Asian Financial Crisis in reverse’ — basic explainer

An explainer on how Hong Kong Linked Exchange Rate System works, what Aggregate Balance is, and how interest rate arbitrage help maintains Linked Exchange Rate System.

Is tipflation even part of inflation?

Or, to frame the question in a more technical way: is tipflation even counted as part of Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation?

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