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Global Economy

News, statistics and insights relating to the global economy

Japan exports (Dec 2018) recorded largest fall in two year

Japanese exports record a year-on-year drop of 3.8% in December 2018, the most substantial shrinkage since October 2016.

Most of China’s Foreign Currency Credit are in USD

According to the data from BIS global liquidity indicators, as of September 2018, most foreign currency credits to China is still denominated with US dollar.

Americans have not been this optimistic about their financial situation — for the last...

69% of American is financially optimistic, reaching the highest level for the last 16 years.

OECD governments borrowing expected to hit record $11tn

Gross borrowing of OECD governments from the markets is set to surpass $11tn this year. This would be a new record, above the current record of $10.9 trillion set in 2010.

Japan’s Inflation Rate is still Far From BOJ’s 2 Percent Target

Japan's core inflation rate was on 0.7 percent in February, remaining distant from the Bank of Japan's 2 percent target.

Fed to let Bank Term Funding Program expires on March 11

The US central bank also made an adjustment of the program's terms, setting minimum interest rate level at the interest of reserve balance, effective immediately, to block an arbitrage opportunity that banks have been taking advantage of.

Signs of Eurozone Recession is More Apparent

The latest Purchasing Manager Index (PMI) for the two largest economies, Germany and France, is showing a clear sign of looming recession.

Why FOMC mulling to cut ON RRP rate by 5 bps?

A relatively unexpected discussion among Federal Reserve officials during November FOMC meeting was that "some" committee members suggested a future consideration of lowering the ON RRP facility rate by 5 basis points. Why are they talking about that?

US nonfarm payroll beats expectations in June amid signs of cooling off

US nonfarm payroll increased by 206,000 in June, beating market expectation of 190,000, amid signs that job growth in cooling off as the the Bureau of Labor Statistics revised down the May and April by a combined 111,000 in its report released Friday.

How will the shutdown impact GDP growth?

The effect is shown differently on nominal and real GDP

Interviews

Joseph Gagnon Cover

The effects of Unconventional Exchange Rate and Monetary Policy | Q&A with Joseph Gagnon

The honorable guest for this installment is Joseph E. Gagnon, senior fellow at Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE). We discussed one of his latest research paper "Unconventional Monetary and Exchange Rate Policies" and the new book he coauthored with C. Fred Bergsten, "Currency Conflict and Trade Policy: A New Strategy for the United States". Gagnon also shared his view on the very popular "Global Financial Cycle" ideas.