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Global Economy

News, statistics and insights relating to the global economy

US payroll growth in Jan beats expectations

US nonfarm payroll increased 353,000 and Unemployment rate as 3.7% in January

Japan’s Inflation Rate is still Far From BOJ’s 2 Percent Target

Japan's core inflation rate was on 0.7 percent in February, remaining distant from the Bank of Japan's 2 percent target.

OECD governments borrowing expected to hit record $11tn

Gross borrowing of OECD governments from the markets is set to surpass $11tn this year. This would be a new record, above the current record of $10.9 trillion set in 2010.

Signs of Eurozone Recession is More Apparent

The latest Purchasing Manager Index (PMI) for the two largest economies, Germany and France, is showing a clear sign of looming recession.

Fed to let Bank Term Funding Program expires on March 11

The US central bank also made an adjustment of the program's terms, setting minimum interest rate level at the interest of reserve balance, effective immediately, to block an arbitrage opportunity that banks have been taking advantage of.

How will the shutdown impact GDP growth?

The effect is shown differently on nominal and real GDP

Derivatives’s Credit Terms in Eurozone Tighten Further

The latest SESFOD shows that the credit terms offered to counterparties for both securities financing and OTC derivative transactions is further tightened.

ECB on impact of Coronavirus (March 2)

Luis de Guindos, vice president of the European Central Bank, depicted the coronavirus as an additional " layer of uncertainty to global and euro area growth prospects,"

World Bank seeks to provide further USD 350 million loans to Ukraine

The World Bank is aiming to fast track the process to provide Ukraine an additional USD 350 million loan in the next few days, or as soon as the end of this week, Reuters cited people familiar with the plans.

UK inflation remains above 10% as food prices continues rapid rise

The UK CPI rose 10.1% in the year to March, still remain in double digits even though analysts expected the annual rate to fall to 9.8%

Global Economy

Interviews

Cover Photo with Calomiris

Politics and the Economics of Banking Crises | Q&A with Charles Calomiris |

In this installment, we continue our discussion with Prof. Charles Calomiris, Henry Kaufman Professor of Financial Institutions at Columbia Business School. The topic of this installment is the missing role of politics in economics models of banking crises. We also discussed if Calomiris thinks macroeconomics has a similar problem.
Branko Milanovic Cover 2

Is Inequality part of Macroeconomics? | Interview with Branko Milanovic |

Branko Milanovic discusses whether the study of inequality can be considered as part of macroeconomics and how should macroeconomists incorporate his idea of Kuznets Waves into their models.

A Macroeconomic Earthquake | Q&A with Larry Christiano

In this interview, Prof Christiano shared his view on the development of post-2008 academic macroeconomics. We’ve asked Prof Christiano does he agree that modern macroeconomic models are too complicated for the general public, or even policymakers and if he agrees that economic models should be “simpler”. Does he think the recent revival of ISLM model a “good trend”? Should Macroeconomists hang on their faith in DSGE models? Should they explore alternative paths?

DSGE model and the State of Macroeconomics | Q&A with Olivier Blanchard |

In this interview, Blanchard discussed his view on the role of DSGE model in modern Macroeconomics and policymaking. He also explained his decision to rewrite his macroeconomics textbooks after the Great Recession. His recent research on hysteresis was also discussed.