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Yearly Archives: 2019
Japan’s Inflation Rate is still Far From BOJ’s 2 Percent Target
Japan's core inflation rate was on 0.7 percent in February, remaining distant from the Bank of Japan's 2 percent target.
Phillips Curve is Not a Straight Line…
A story about three economists agree with the prevailing consensus that the Phillips Curve of the US is flattened in the last few decades on the one hand; and dispute the idea that the Phillips Curve is dead on the other.
FedSpeak Might Not Have Much Effects on Public’s Inflation Expectation
In a recent NBER working paper "Monetary Policy Communications and their Effects on Household Inflation Expectations", economists Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber tried to find out how the household's expectation for inflation change with regard to the information they received.
Americans have not been this optimistic about their financial situation — for the last 16 years
69% of American is financially optimistic, reaching the highest level for the last 16 years.
Germany’s GDP Data might have been Distorted by Questionable Data
Germany's GDP data for 2018 might have been distorted by some questionable data provided by the pharmaceutical manufacturing industry.
OECD governments borrowing expected to hit record $11tn
Gross borrowing of OECD governments from the markets is set to surpass $11tn this year. This would be a new record, above the current record of $10.9 trillion set in 2010.
Derivatives’s Credit Terms in Eurozone Tighten Further
The latest SESFOD shows that the credit terms offered to counterparties for both securities financing and OTC derivative transactions is further tightened.
Most of China’s Foreign Currency Credit are in USD
According to the data from BIS global liquidity indicators, as of September 2018, most foreign currency credits to China is still denominated with US dollar.
The Rise of Non-Bank US Dollar Credit Continues
The latest BIS global liquidity indicators showed that the share of Non-bank USD denominated credit continued its rising trend.
The Most Important Question Jay Powell Need to Answer – Where is the Saturated Level of Reserve?
The most important question for the 30th Jan Fed meeting balance sheet policy, because it is also most underrated by the market.
Interviews
Interview with Paul Romer – On Charter Cities (and HK) and Growth Theory
"There is a big difference between saying you want to allow for city-scale reform zones that will encourage reform of government and innovation in government, and saying that you want to do away with government entirely and let a corporate entity run a private city," says Nobel winning economist Paul Romer.
Interview with Paul Romer on large scale Covid testing – Transcript
Edited transcript of our interview with Paul Romer, on why the US urgently to scale up testing for Covid-19 and why he thinks the covid-crisis amounts an intellectual failure
A Macroeconomic Earthquake | Q&A with Larry Christiano
In this interview, Prof Christiano shared his view on the development of post-2008 academic macroeconomics. We’ve asked Prof Christiano does he agree that modern macroeconomic models are too complicated for the general public, or even policymakers and if he agrees that economic models should be “simpler”. Does he think the recent revival of ISLM model a “good trend”? Should Macroeconomists hang on their faith in DSGE models? Should they explore alternative paths?
How to Maintain Prosperity for All | Interview with Roger Farmer
Roger Farmer explains : Why central banks should consider stock market intervention in stabilizing the employment markets?