Why Fed projects to cut rates next year even it expects failure to reach...
Inflation projections by Fed officials show that PCE inflation will not reach 2% by the end of 2025. Why the Fed expects to cut rate next year then?
OECD governments borrowing expected to hit record $11tn
Gross borrowing of OECD governments from the markets is set to surpass $11tn this year. This would be a new record, above the current record of $10.9 trillion set in 2010.
First sighting of Trump II tariff revenue surge
The US government on April 22 received USD 11.7 billion from customer duties in a single day, the first time we can observe a substantial increase in import duties revenue resulted from the new of tariff from the second Trump administration.
Fed projects plan for front-loaded monetary easing, kicks off with 50 bps cut
The Federal Reserve lowered its fed fund rate target by 50 basis points to the range of 4.75 - 5%, with governor Michelle Bowman dissented the decision in favor of a smaller a quarter percentage point cut.
Bank of Canada holds rate at 5% after September meeting
Bank of Canada maintained its benchmark interest rate at 5% but warned about persistent underlying inflationary pressure.
UK inflation holds at 4% in January
CPI: 4.0% YoY (Dec: 4.0%); Core CPI: 5.1% YoY (Dec: 5.1%)
BoE holds rate at 5.25% with ‘some’ officials signal eagerness to cut
Bank of England held its policy interest rate at 5.25% with a 7-2 vote amongst officials at its Monetary Policy Committee.
US core CPI rises 3.6% as expected
US CPI rose 3.35% in the year to April, as expected by analysts. Meanwhile, core CPI, which strips out prices of food and energy, increased 3.61%, also as market expected.
Leading indicator for UK goods inflation
One of the leading indicators Bank of England (BoE) uses to predict the future direction of goods inflation is the manufacturing producer price index (PPI) growth rate. The close relation, however, has broken down in the past year.
US April Jobs Report – Unemployment rate rises back to 3.9% as Nonfarm Payroll...
Nonfarm payroll increased 175,000 in April, a significant reduction from 315,000 in March and fell short of the market expectation of 243,000. Meanwhile, US unemployment rebounded to 3.9%
Interviews
Politics and the Economics of Banking Crises | Q&A with Charles Calomiris |
In this installment, we continue our discussion with Prof. Charles Calomiris, Henry Kaufman Professor of Financial Institutions at Columbia Business School. The topic of this installment is the missing role of politics in economics models of banking crises. We also discussed if Calomiris thinks macroeconomics has a similar problem.