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Yearly Archives: 2023

UK Economic Inactivity and Long-term Sickness

Post-covid trend of the economic inactivity in the UK

Early signs of inflation expectation de-anchoring back in 2021

Ricardo Reis, economics professor at the London School of Economics, explained that there were telling signs that the increase in cost of living started ealry-2021 was not a "transitory" phenomenon.

Bank of Canada holds rate at 5% after September meeting

Bank of Canada maintained its benchmark interest rate at 5% but warned about persistent underlying inflationary pressure.

G20 finance officials to discuss debt, funding to low-income countries in India

G20's economic officials will gather in India next week to discuss ways to boost lending to developing countries from multilateral institutions and to reform the international debt system, Reuters cited unnamed Indian officials.

Leading indicator for UK goods inflation

One of the leading indicators Bank of England (BoE) uses to predict the future direction of goods inflation is the manufacturing producer price index (PPI) growth rate. The close relation, however, has broken down in the past year.

Bank of England raises interest rate by 0.5%—notes on the Bank’s decision

Bank of England on Thursday decided to raise its benchmark interest rate by 0.5% to 5%, larger than the market expectation of a 0.25% increase. The decision followed Office of Nation Statistics' publication of a 8.7% CPI inflation reading for the year to May on Wednesday.

Economic benefit of asset market bubble

What the impact of asset price bubbles on US economic growth is.

BoE to run system-wide evaluation on financial system including non-banks

Bank of England will conduct a system-wide exploratory scenario (SWES) exercise on the UK financial markets to see how well both banks and non-bank financial institutions can handle stress market conditions.

Why Fed projects to cut rates next year even it expects failure to reach inflation target for 2 more years?

Inflation projections by Fed officials show that PCE inflation will not reach 2% by the end of 2025. Why the Fed expects to cut rate next year then?

US gains 339,000 jobs while unemployment rate rises to 3.7%

Employers in the US added 339,000 jobs in May, but at the same time 440,000 more people reported they were unemployed

Global Economy

Interviews

Why the Fed should Keep a Sizeable Balance Sheet? | Q&A with Jeremy...

Jeremy Stein, former Federal Reserve governor, talks to us about his recent research “The Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet as a Financial-Stability Tool” and why the Fed should maintain a sizeable balance sheet.
Branko Milanovic Cover 2

Is Inequality part of Macroeconomics? | Interview with Branko Milanovic |

Branko Milanovic discusses whether the study of inequality can be considered as part of macroeconomics and how should macroeconomists incorporate his idea of Kuznets Waves into their models.

A Macroeconomic Earthquake | Q&A with Larry Christiano

In this interview, Prof Christiano shared his view on the development of post-2008 academic macroeconomics. We’ve asked Prof Christiano does he agree that modern macroeconomic models are too complicated for the general public, or even policymakers and if he agrees that economic models should be “simpler”. Does he think the recent revival of ISLM model a “good trend”? Should Macroeconomists hang on their faith in DSGE models? Should they explore alternative paths?

Why Yellen should have stayed as Fed Governor? | Interview with Conti-Brown

Peter Conti-Brown, author of one of the best book about the institution of Fed, "The Power and Independence of the Federal Reserve", explains what Jay Powell's nomination means to the Fed independence and why Janet Yellen should have stay as governor after his Chair term ended.