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Mon | Dec 8-2025 | 4:30 pm EST

Phillips Curve is Not a Straight Line…

A story about three economists agree with the prevailing consensus that the Phillips Curve of the US is flattened in the last few decades on the one hand; and dispute the idea that the Phillips Curve is dead on the other.

Understanding the Great Recession | Interviews with Larry Christiano |

Larry Christiano, one of the most prominent researcher on DSGE model, explains what his research "Understanding the Great Recession" tell us about the Great Recession as well as labor participation rate's role in the developments of the Great Recession.

FedSpeak Might Not Have Much Effects on Public’s Inflation Expectation

In a recent NBER working paper "Monetary Policy Communications and their Effects on Household Inflation Expectations", economists Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber tried to find out how the household's expectation for inflation change with regard to the information they received.

Blanchard’s “Policy Model” v “Theory Model”

Back in November last year, Professor Olivier Blanchard discussed with me about his view that there should be four types of macroeconomics, and "theory...

Canada GDP: an Up-to-date checkup on the Canadian economy

While GDP rebounded by 0.65% in Q3 (2.6% annualized), the expansion was driven almost entirely by a 2.2% drop in imports.

Trump appointees will get Fed board majority when Powell is gone – and it...

Trump-appointed Fed governors will hold a board majority by the time Powell steps down as a governor. And that could matter a lot.

A Pitfall of Global Economic Policy Uncertainty Index

In recent months, the Global Economic Policy Uncertainty index has risen to a level much higher than periods around the 911 Terrorist Attack or the 2008 Financial Crisis, hence the conclusion that the economic policy is unprecedently uncertain now. But here is why you might not have to worry.

Why Fed projects to cut rates next year even it expects failure to reach...

Inflation projections by Fed officials show that PCE inflation will not reach 2% by the end of 2025. Why the Fed expects to cut rate next year then?

How to use the Fed’s FIMA Repo — the case of Hong Kong

Hong Kong Monetary Authority, the de facto central bank of Hong Kong, announced on April 22 that it will utilize the Fed's FIMA Repo facility to borrow USD 10 billion of cash.

How to make US inflation chart by pulling data from BLS API with Python

An important question is how do we get the series IDs for the data you need. The short answer is through BLS's Data Finder

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