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Thu | Mar 27-2025 | 9:05 am EDT

Hysteresis – An Underrated Macroeconomics Question

Hysteresis is referred to the hypothesis that recessions may have permanent effects on the level of output relative to trend.

Hong Kong Linked Exchange Rate & HKD-USD interest rate differential

HKD tends to be on the strong side (closer to HKD 7.75 per USD) when the interest rate differential is positive (HIBOR > LIBOR).

The problem with monetarist’s view of inflation

Long-run stability of the velocity, or the filpside of it, money demand, however, is not a empirically founded assumption.

Global Economy

Interviews

How Household Debt affect the Global Business Cycles | Q&A with Atif Mian |

In this installment of the interview, Professor Mian explains the major findings in his recent research paper "Household Debt and Business Cycles World Wide" and the important implications of that paper.