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Tue | Dec 23-2025 | 10:09 am EST

Why Does Credit Growth Crowd Out Real Economic Growth?

The faster the credit growth, the worse it is for real growth (output per worker). This is what Stephen G. Cecchetti and Enisse Kharroubi want to explain in their NBER working paper "Why Does Credit Growth Crowd Out Real Economic Growth?"

No, PPI is not a measure of wholesale inflation

A standard perception of PPI is that it is a measure of "wholesale inflation", but the BLS told EconReporter that this interpretation of PPI is not at all correct.

The Rise of Non-Bank US Dollar Credit Continues

The latest BIS global liquidity indicators showed that the share of Non-bank USD denominated credit continued its rising trend.

Performance of Macroeconomics is not that bad! | Q&A with Ricardo Reis |

In the interview, Ricardo Reis discuss with us his latest research project - "Reservism", the study of the role of reserves on central bank balance sheets and their implications for central bank solvency, quantitative easing, and the ability to control inflation.

Currency Zones through the last 50 years

The figure above is from a recent BIS working paper "A key currency view of global imbalances". It shows the currency geography as of four dates from the last days of Bretton Woods until now: 1968, 1985, 2001 and 2017.

CoCo issuance and bank fragility

A series of papers by Stefan Avdjiev, Bilyana Bogdanova, Patrick Bolton, Wei Jiang, and Anastasia Kartasheva on this topic is highly recommended.

What is Payment on Reserves Process?

The payment on reserve process proposed by Robert Hall and Ricardo Reis is a way of remunerating reserves which would give the central bank...

Trump appointees will get Fed board majority when Powell is gone – and it...

Trump-appointed Fed governors will hold a board majority by the time Powell steps down as a governor. And that could matter a lot.

Standing Repo Facility Watch – Is the Fed’s ceiling tool working?

The Federal Reserve announced after the December meeting that it removed the aggregate limit on the Standing Repo Facility (SRF). Repo rates spiked toward the end of the week, with SOFR and the Tri-party General Collateral rate (TGCR) reaching 4.12% and 4.08% on Friday, respectively, breaching the Federal Reserve's overnight interest rate target range.
Interior of the Board room in the Marriner S. Eccles building: ec_37

Where are the endpoints of QT? Ample Reserve System vs Demand-driven Floor System

Quantitative tightening (QT)—a process central banks use to reverse years of liquidity creation from quantitative easing (QE)—is concluding in many advanced economies. The central banks are growing confident that reserve levels in their financial systems are nearing their endpoints. Where are the endpoints of QT and what come next?

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