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What is Neo-Fisherian and FTPL? | Q&A with John Cochrane |

Cochrane discusses with us his view on the development in Macroeconomics since the Great Depression. He also explains what Neo-Fisherian and Fiscal Theory of Price Level are, and why they are important for understanding the current economic situation around the world.

Debt Growth Rate, not Level, Predicts Slowdown

Last week, Bank of England's Deputy Governor for Monetary Policy Ben Broadbent gave an insightful speech about debt dynamics. An important point Broadbent has...

Should Federal Reserve use scenario analysis to handle trade war uncertainty?

The Fed is currently in a "wait and see" mode in deciding what is the reaction to Trump's trade policy. But is it possible for the Fed to be a bit more proactive than merely saying "we will be able to update you further when we know more details"? Enters scenario analysis.

Blanchard’s “Policy Model” v “Theory Model”

Back in November last year, Professor Olivier Blanchard discussed with me about his view that there should be four types of macroeconomics, and "theory...

Central Bank’s Balance Sheet and the Rise of Reserves

The above figure shows the balance sheet of four major central banks from 2005 to 2015. Above the horizontal axis is the asset side...

Planet Money Book—a long-time listener, first-time reader’s review

Planet Money Book is an excellent introduction to economics and finance and reminded me why it is good to have Planet Money in our life.
John Cochrane Cover Photo

Fiscal Theory of Price Level and State of Macroeconomics | Q&A with John Cochrane...

John Cochrane talks about Fiscal Theory of Price Level and how can we apply this theory on the current macroeconomy.

Why is the Hong Kong-US interest rate spread so persistent? — Currency peg in...

A spread of over 3.5 percentage points between US and Hong Kong Interest rate persisted for close to two months and so far arbitrage has failed to close the gap, leading to discussion of whether Hong Kong's Linked Exchange System is failing. This article, however, will explore some technical factors behind this interesting interest rate gap.

What Macroeconomists agree with each others, according to Blanchard

Olivier Blanchard a list of things that macroeconomists normally agreed on and need no further discussions.

The Most Important Question Jay Powell Need to Answer – Where is the Saturated...

The most important question for the 30th Jan Fed meeting balance sheet policy, because it is also most underrated by the market.

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