Monthly Archives: June 2023
Leading indicator for UK goods inflation
One of the leading indicators Bank of England (BoE) uses to predict the future direction of goods inflation is the manufacturing producer price index (PPI) growth rate. The close relation, however, has broken down in the past year.
Bank of England raises interest rate by 0.5%—notes on the Bank’s decision
Bank of England on Thursday decided to raise its benchmark interest rate by 0.5% to 5%, larger than the market expectation of a 0.25% increase. The decision followed Office of Nation Statistics' publication of a 8.7% CPI inflation reading for the year to May on Wednesday.
Economic benefit of asset market bubble
What the impact of asset price bubbles on US economic growth is.
BoE to run system-wide evaluation on financial system including non-banks
Bank of England will conduct a system-wide exploratory scenario (SWES) exercise on the UK financial markets to see how well both banks and non-bank financial institutions can handle stress market conditions.
Why Fed projects to cut rates next year even it expects failure to reach inflation target for 2 more years?
Inflation projections by Fed officials show that PCE inflation will not reach 2% by the end of 2025. Why the Fed expects to cut rate next year then?
US gains 339,000 jobs while unemployment rate rises to 3.7%
Employers in the US added 339,000 jobs in May, but at the same time 440,000 more people reported they were unemployed
Eurozone inflation drops to 6.1% in May, lower than expected
Annual consumer prices in the Eurozone rose by 6.1% YoY in May, down from 7% in April.
UK house prices continue to fall in May, Nationwide reports
UK average property prices were 3.4% lower compared to the previous year, accelerating the annual fall of 2.7% in April.
Interviews
Economics Rules – Why Economists do it with Models | Q&A with Dani Rodrik
Rodrik explained why good economists think in terms of models, and what are major differences between models and theory.
He also told us why macroeconomists' quest to find "the one true model" on the business cycle is probably misguided.
How Household Debt affect the Global Business Cycles | Q&A with Atif Mian |
In this installment of the interview, Professor Mian explains the major findings in his recent research paper "Household Debt and Business Cycles World Wide" and the important implications of that paper.
What is Neo-Fisherian and FTPL? | Q&A with John Cochrane |
Cochrane discusses with us his view on the development in Macroeconomics since the Great Depression. He also explains what Neo-Fisherian and Fiscal Theory of Price Level are, and why they are important for understanding the current economic situation around the world.
Market Monetarism and Macroeconomics | Q&A with Scott Sumner |
This is the second installment of our interview series "Where is the General Theory of the 21st Century?".In this second installment, we continue...