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Monthly Archives: February 2019

Phillips Curve is Not a Straight Line…

A story about three economists agree with the prevailing consensus that the Phillips Curve of the US is flattened in the last few decades on the one hand; and dispute the idea that the Phillips Curve is dead on the other.

FedSpeak Might Not Have Much Effects on Public’s Inflation Expectation

In a recent NBER working paper "Monetary Policy Communications and their Effects on Household Inflation Expectations", economists Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber tried to find out how the household's expectation for inflation change with regard to the information they received.

Americans have not been this optimistic about their financial situation — for the last 16 years

69% of American is financially optimistic, reaching the highest level for the last 16 years.

Germany’s GDP Data might have been Distorted by Questionable Data

Germany's GDP data for 2018 might have been distorted by some questionable data provided by the pharmaceutical manufacturing industry.

OECD governments borrowing expected to hit record $11tn

Gross borrowing of OECD governments from the markets is set to surpass $11tn this year. This would be a new record, above the current record of $10.9 trillion set in 2010.

Derivatives’s Credit Terms in Eurozone Tighten Further

The latest SESFOD shows that the credit terms offered to counterparties for both securities financing and OTC derivative transactions is further tightened.

Most of China’s Foreign Currency Credit are in USD

According to the data from BIS global liquidity indicators, as of September 2018, most foreign currency credits to China is still denominated with US dollar.

The Rise of Non-Bank US Dollar Credit Continues

The latest BIS global liquidity indicators showed that the share of Non-bank USD denominated credit continued its rising trend.

Global Economy

Interviews

A Macroeconomic Earthquake | Q&A with Larry Christiano

In this interview, Prof Christiano shared his view on the development of post-2008 academic macroeconomics. We’ve asked Prof Christiano does he agree that modern macroeconomic models are too complicated for the general public, or even policymakers and if he agrees that economic models should be “simpler”. Does he think the recent revival of ISLM model a “good trend”? Should Macroeconomists hang on their faith in DSGE models? Should they explore alternative paths?

US needs large-scale Covid testing urgently: Nobel winning economist Paul Romer

In an exclusive interview with EconReporter on Tuesday, Romer, co-recipient of the 2018 Nobel Prize in Economics Science, urged the US to adopt large-scale testing immediately to halt this most detrimental economic slump ever since the Great Depression in the 1930s.
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Global Inequality and Kuznets Waves | Q&A with Branko Milanovic |

Welcome to the latest installment of our interview series “Where is the General Theory of the 21st Century?” “Where is the General Theory of the...
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Major Shifts in Macroeconomics Since the Great Recession | Interview with Atif Mian

Atif Mian, co-author of House of Debt, discusses what he thinks are the "revolutionary" changes in macroeconomic academia since the Great Recession.