Monthly Archives: February 2019
Phillips Curve is Not a Straight Line…
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A story about three economists agree with the prevailing consensus that the Phillips Curve of the US is flattened in the last few decades on the one hand; and dispute the idea that the Phillips Curve is dead on the other.
FedSpeak Might Not Have Much Effects on Public’s Inflation Expectation
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In a recent NBER working paper "Monetary Policy Communications and their Effects on Household Inflation Expectations", economists Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber tried to find out how the household's expectation for inflation change with regard to the information they received.
Americans have not been this optimistic about their financial situation — for the last 16 years
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69% of American is financially optimistic, reaching the highest level for the last 16 years.
Germany’s GDP Data might have been Distorted by Questionable Data
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Germany's GDP data for 2018 might have been distorted by some questionable data provided by the pharmaceutical manufacturing industry.
OECD governments borrowing expected to hit record $11tn
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Gross borrowing of OECD governments from the markets is set to surpass $11tn this year. This would be a new record, above the current record of $10.9 trillion set in 2010.
Derivatives’s Credit Terms in Eurozone Tighten Further
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The latest SESFOD shows that the credit terms offered to counterparties for both securities financing and OTC derivative transactions is further tightened.
Most of China’s Foreign Currency Credit are in USD
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According to the data from BIS global liquidity indicators, as of September 2018, most foreign currency credits to China is still denominated with US dollar.
The Rise of Non-Bank US Dollar Credit Continues
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The latest BIS global liquidity indicators showed that the share of Non-bank USD denominated credit continued its rising trend.
Global Economy
Interviews
Why the Fed should Keep a Sizeable Balance Sheet? | Q&A with Jeremy...
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Jeremy Stein, former Federal Reserve governor, talks to us about his recent research “The Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet as a Financial-Stability Tool” and why the Fed should maintain a sizeable balance sheet.
What is Neo-Fisherian and FTPL? | Q&A with John Cochrane |
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Cochrane discusses with us his view on the development in Macroeconomics since the Great Depression. He also explains what Neo-Fisherian and Fiscal Theory of Price Level are, and why they are important for understanding the current economic situation around the world.
Integrating Psychology with Economics | Q&A with Hersh Shefrin & Shlomo Benartzi
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In celebration of Richard Thaler's prize lecture for his 2017 Nobel prize, we interviewed two of his best co-authors -- Hersh Shefrin and Shlomo Benartzi -- to discuss the future of behavioral economics.
Is Inequality part of Macroeconomics? | Interview with Branko Milanovic |
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Branko Milanovic discusses whether the study of inequality can be considered as part of macroeconomics and how should macroeconomists incorporate his idea of Kuznets Waves into their models.