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Cloud Y

Cloud Y
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The independent journalist who set up this website after realizing he is not smart enough to become a real economist.

Japan exports (Dec 2018) recorded largest fall in two year

Japanese exports record a year-on-year drop of 3.8% in December 2018, the most substantial shrinkage since October 2016.

Nonbank Lending

In their recent working paper "Nonbank Lending", economists Sergey Chernenko, Isil Erel, and Robert Prilmeier provided an insightful overview of the sources and terms of private debt financing during the post-crisis period.

The Non‐Bank Credit Cycle

In a new working paper "The Non‐Bank Credit Cycle", researchers Esti Kemp, René van Stralen, Alexandros Vardoulakis, and Peter Wierts tried to look into the cyclical properties of non‐bank credit and its relevance for financial stability.

What comes after housing market bubble?

An investigation into the probability of a crash in house prices following a housing bubble

Why Does Credit Growth Crowd Out Real Economic Growth?

The faster the credit growth, the worse it is for real growth (output per worker). This is what Stephen G. Cecchetti and Enisse Kharroubi want to explain in their NBER working paper "Why Does Credit Growth Crowd Out Real Economic Growth?"

Media Sentiment and International Asset Prices

A new working paper from the IMF which tries to assess the impact of media sentiment on equity markets.

The sovereign-bank “doom loop”

Since the Euro crisis, investors and policymakers are well aware of the so-called "doom loop" between the banking system and the sovereign. That is, a crisis originating in the banking system (sovereign) will weaken the sovereign (banking system), which in turn will worsen the banking (sovereign) crisis itself.In a recent ECB discussion Paper "Managing the sovereign-bank nexus", the 7 economists - Giovanni Dell’Ariccia, Caio Ferreira, Nigel Jenkinson, Luc Laeven, Alberto Martin, Camelia Minoiu, and Alexander Popov - coauthored the paper suggested that the banks and sovereigns are linked by three interacting channels:

The Missing Profits of Nations and Multinationals’ Extreme Profitability in Tax Havens

The economics of tax evasion is a growing field in academic economics. There are much new exciting research trying to understand the mechanism behind global tax evasion. "The Missing Profits of Nations” by Thomas R. Tørsløv, Ludvig S. Wier and Gabriel Zucman is one of the most noteworthy research on the dynamic behind global tax evasions.

Hysteresis – An Underrated Macroeconomics Question

Hysteresis is referred to the hypothesis that recessions may have permanent effects on the level of output relative to trend.

The Fed’s Interest Rate Policy Regime – Corridor System or Floor System

The Fed has changed it interest rate policy regime since 2008, from the so-called Corridor system, to the Floor system it is using right now. What is the different?

Global Economy

Interviews

Market Monetarism and Macroeconomics | Q&A with Scott Sumner |

This is the second installment of our interview series "Where is the General Theory of the 21st Century?".In this second installment, we continue...
Cochrane Cover Photo

What is Neo-Fisherian and FTPL? | Q&A with John Cochrane |

Cochrane discusses with us his view on the development in Macroeconomics since the Great Depression. He also explains what Neo-Fisherian and Fiscal Theory of Price Level are, and why they are important for understanding the current economic situation around the world.

How to Maintain Prosperity for All | Interview with Roger Farmer

Roger Farmer explains : Why central banks should consider stock market intervention in stabilizing the employment markets?

The Disappointments with Post-Great Recession Macroeconomics | Q&A with Kocherlakota |

Welcome to the latest installment of our interview series “Where is the General Theory of the 21st Century?”“Where is the General Theory of the...