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Cloud Y

Cloud Y
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The independent journalist who set up this website after realizing he is not smart enough to become a real economist.

Is there a Zero Lower Bound?

In a recent research, four European Central Bank economists found that negative interest rate policy in the eurozone can encourage banks to increase lending and encourage cooperations to increase investments. That is, contrary to what macroeconomics models usually predict, interest rate policy can still has stimulative effect even the zero lower bound is reached.

When will Hong Kong’s Interest Rates Align With the US?

If you think the interest rate gap between Hong Kong and US is a market phenomenon, think again. HK Monetary Authority has a much bigger role than you think

Signs of Eurozone Recession is More Apparent

The latest Purchasing Manager Index (PMI) for the two largest economies, Germany and France, is showing a clear sign of looming recession.

Japan’s Inflation Rate is still Far From BOJ’s 2 Percent Target

Japan's core inflation rate was on 0.7 percent in February, remaining distant from the Bank of Japan's 2 percent target.

Phillips Curve is Not a Straight Line…

A story about three economists agree with the prevailing consensus that the Phillips Curve of the US is flattened in the last few decades on the one hand; and dispute the idea that the Phillips Curve is dead on the other.

FedSpeak Might Not Have Much Effects on Public’s Inflation Expectation

In a recent NBER working paper "Monetary Policy Communications and their Effects on Household Inflation Expectations", economists Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber tried to find out how the household's expectation for inflation change with regard to the information they received.

Americans have not been this optimistic about their financial situation — for the last...

69% of American is financially optimistic, reaching the highest level for the last 16 years.

Germany’s GDP Data might have been Distorted by Questionable Data

Germany's GDP data for 2018 might have been distorted by some questionable data provided by the pharmaceutical manufacturing industry.

OECD governments borrowing expected to hit record $11tn

Gross borrowing of OECD governments from the markets is set to surpass $11tn this year. This would be a new record, above the current record of $10.9 trillion set in 2010.

Derivatives’s Credit Terms in Eurozone Tighten Further

The latest SESFOD shows that the credit terms offered to counterparties for both securities financing and OTC derivative transactions is further tightened.

Global Economy

Interviews

Understanding the Great Recession | Interviews with Larry Christiano |

Larry Christiano, one of the most prominent researcher on DSGE model, explains what his research "Understanding the Great Recession" tell us about the Great Recession as well as labor participation rate's role in the developments of the Great Recession.