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Cloud Y

Cloud Y
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The independent journalist who set up this website after realizing he is not smart enough to become a real economist.

Hong Kong dollar amid ‘Asian Financial Crisis in reverse’ — basic explainer

An explainer on how Hong Kong Linked Exchange Rate System works, what Aggregate Balance is, and how interest rate arbitrage help maintains Linked Exchange Rate System.
Interior of the Board room in the Marriner S. Eccles building: ec_37

Where are the endpoints of QT? Ample Reserve System vs Demand-driven Floor System

Quantitative tightening (QT)—a process central banks use to reverse years of liquidity creation from quantitative easing (QE)—is concluding in many advanced economies. The central banks are growing confident that reserve levels in their financial systems are nearing their endpoints. Where are the endpoints of QT and what come next?

First sighting of Trump II tariff revenue surge

The US government on April 22 received USD 11.7 billion from customer duties in a single day, the first time we can observe a substantial increase in import duties revenue resulted from the new of tariff from the second Trump administration.

Should Federal Reserve use scenario analysis to handle trade war uncertainty?

The Fed is currently in a "wait and see" mode in deciding what is the reaction to Trump's trade policy. But is it possible for the Fed to be a bit more proactive than merely saying "we will be able to update you further when we know more details"? Enters scenario analysis.

No, PPI is not a measure of wholesale inflation

A standard perception of PPI is that it is a measure of "wholesale inflation", but the BLS told EconReporter that this interpretation of PPI is not at all correct.

Why FOMC mulling to cut ON RRP rate by 5 bps?

A relatively unexpected discussion among Federal Reserve officials during November FOMC meeting was that "some" committee members suggested a future consideration of lowering the ON RRP facility rate by 5 basis points. Why are they talking about that?

Dallas Fed’s Logan cites neutral rate uncertainty as reason to ‘proceed cautiously’ on rate...

Lorie Logan, president of Dallas Fed, expressed worry about uncertainty surrounding the exact level of neutral rate of interest and hinted at the risk that the Federal Reserve's policy rate might already near the point which further rate may starts to fuel inflation again

Some Bank of Canada officials worried half point cut might signal economic trouble

Some Bank of Canada officials expressed worries during the last policy meeting that an "unusual" 50-basis-point might be "interpreted as a sign of economic trouble" and led to expectations of further outsized cuts, the meeting deliberations summary shows.

US consumers continues to drive strong GDP growth

US GDP increased by more than 2.8% at an annualized rate in Q3, supported by continued acceleration the growth of personal consumption expenditures.

Eurozone economy shows resilience with 0.4% GDP increase in Q3

Eurozone GDP quarterly growth rate sped up to 0.4% in Q3, an upside surprise compared to an expectation of 0.2% increase, countering widespread worries that the currency bloc is sliding into economic stagnation.

Global Economy

Interviews

Branko Milanovic Cover 1

Global Inequality and Kuznets Waves | Q&A with Branko Milanovic |

Welcome to the latest installment of our interview series “Where is the General Theory of the 21st Century?” “Where is the General Theory of the...