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Monthly Archives: June 2023

Leading indicator for UK goods inflation

One of the leading indicators Bank of England (BoE) uses to predict the future direction of goods inflation is the manufacturing producer price index (PPI) growth rate. The close relation, however, has broken down in the past year.

Bank of England raises interest rate by 0.5%—notes on the Bank’s decision

Bank of England on Thursday decided to raise its benchmark interest rate by 0.5% to 5%, larger than the market expectation of a 0.25% increase. The decision followed Office of Nation Statistics' publication of a 8.7% CPI inflation reading for the year to May on Wednesday.

Economic benefit of asset market bubble

What the impact of asset price bubbles on US economic growth is.

BoE to run system-wide evaluation on financial system including non-banks

Bank of England will conduct a system-wide exploratory scenario (SWES) exercise on the UK financial markets to see how well both banks and non-bank financial institutions can handle stress market conditions.

Why Fed projects to cut rates next year even it expects failure to reach inflation target for 2 more years?

Inflation projections by Fed officials show that PCE inflation will not reach 2% by the end of 2025. Why the Fed expects to cut rate next year then?

US gains 339,000 jobs while unemployment rate rises to 3.7%

Employers in the US added 339,000 jobs in May, but at the same time 440,000 more people reported they were unemployed

Eurozone inflation drops to 6.1% in May, lower than expected

Annual consumer prices in the Eurozone rose by 6.1% YoY in May, down from 7% in April.

UK house prices continue to fall in May, Nationwide reports

UK average property prices were 3.4% lower compared to the previous year, accelerating the annual fall of 2.7% in April.

Global Economy

Interviews

Blanchard Cover Photo

The model you should use to explain Macroeconomics to your Mum | Q&A with...

>Professor Olivier Blanchard further explained the role empirical research on DSGE models, how to teach undergraduates macro after the Great Recession, and his research on hysteresis.

DSGE model and the State of Macroeconomics | Q&A with Olivier Blanchard |

In this interview, Blanchard discussed his view on the role of DSGE model in modern Macroeconomics and policymaking. He also explained his decision to rewrite his macroeconomics textbooks after the Great Recession. His recent research on hysteresis was also discussed.

How Household Debt affect the Global Business Cycles | Q&A with Atif Mian |

In this installment of the interview, Professor Mian explains the major findings in his recent research paper "Household Debt and Business Cycles World Wide" and the important implications of that paper.
John Cochrane Cover Photo

Fiscal Theory of Price Level and State of Macroeconomics | Q&A with John Cochrane...

John Cochrane talks about Fiscal Theory of Price Level and how can we apply this theory on the current macroeconomy.