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IMF Growth Projections and Overfitting in Judgment-based Economic Forecasts

In a recent IMF working paper "Overfitting in Judgment-based Economic Forecasts: The Case of IMF Growth Projections", economist Klaus-Peter Hellwig examined IMF's World Economic Forecasts (WEO) and check if the forecast model suffer from the problem of overfitting.

Interviews

Market Monetarism and Macroeconomics | Q&A with Scott Sumner |

This is the second installment of our interview series "Where is the General Theory of the 21st Century?". In this second installment, we continue...