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Federal Reserve has never been this ‘confused’ about neutral rate

Federal Reserve decided to cut rate by an supersized 0.5 percentage point. The decision finally ended the weeks-long market debate of whether the central bank would cut 25 or 50 basis points. One important thing, though, didn't reach the headline: The Fed has never been this "confused" about where the natural rate should be.

Fed projects plan for front-loaded monetary easing, kicks off with 50 bps cut

The Federal Reserve lowered its fed fund rate target by 50 basis points to the range of 4.75 - 5%, with governor Michelle Bowman dissented the decision in favor of a smaller a quarter percentage point cut.

Fed’s Daly, Kashkari support rate cut talks in September meeting

San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari are both open to discussions about cutting Fed Fund Rate target at the up coming Federal Reserve meeting

Fed’s Bowman still sees ‘upside risks’ to US inflation

Federal Reserve governor Michelle Bowman is worried about reacceleration in cost of living, saying that she 'still see some upside risks to inflation'

US large banks pass Fed’s stress test with credit card, commercial loans projected to...

The Federal Reserve revealed US large banks passed the 2024 banking system stress test.

Measuring Federal Reserve officials’ secret disagreement behind locked doors of FOMC meetings

Dissent votes in Federal Reserve policy meetings are rare, accounting for only 6.37% of the votes between 1976 and 2017. However, opting not to vote against the FOMC consensus doesn't necessarily mean committee members don't "disagree" with it.

Fed to let Bank Term Funding Program expires on March 11

The US central bank also made an adjustment of the program's terms, setting minimum interest rate level at the interest of reserve balance, effective immediately, to block an arbitrage opportunity that banks have been taking advantage of.

Why Fed projects to cut rates next year even it expects failure to reach...

Inflation projections by Fed officials show that PCE inflation will not reach 2% by the end of 2025. Why the Fed expects to cut rate next year then?

US inflation eases further in February as energy prices drop, PCE index shows

Inflation in the US showed further signs of easing as the yearly growth of core PCE price index slowed to 4.6% in February, while the headline number increased by 5%.

Fed-preferred PCE price index accelerated in January

Core PCE inflation rose 4.7% in January YoY, beating expectation of 4.4% increase. The Fed-preferred price index rose 0.6% MoM compared to the market expectation of 0.5%.

Global Economy

Interviews

Blanchard Cover Photo

The model you should use to explain Macroeconomics to your Mum | Q&A with...

>Professor Olivier Blanchard further explained the role empirical research on DSGE models, how to teach undergraduates macro after the Great Recession, and his research on hysteresis.

Economics Rules – Why Economists do it with Models | Q&A with Dani Rodrik

Rodrik explained why good economists think in terms of models, and what are major differences between models and theory. He also told us why macroeconomists' quest to find "the one true model" on the business cycle is probably misguided.

US needs large-scale Covid testing urgently: Nobel winning economist Paul Romer

In an exclusive interview with EconReporter on Tuesday, Romer, co-recipient of the 2018 Nobel Prize in Economics Science, urged the US to adopt large-scale testing immediately to halt this most detrimental economic slump ever since the Great Depression in the 1930s.

Interview with Paul Romer on large scale Covid testing – Transcript

Edited transcript of our interview with Paul Romer, on why the US urgently to scale up testing for Covid-19 and why he thinks the covid-crisis amounts an intellectual failure